I will discuss the
ridiculousness, yet stability of mutually assured destruction and argue that it
in today’s world, it acts as the best deterrent. The quote, "Offense is defense, defense
is offense. Killing people is good, killing weapons is bad", sums up the
theory of mutually assured destruction rather well. While it may seem illogical, this thinking
has been a basis for U.S. nuclear strategy for decades, and has served rather
well. At the heart of the nuclear restraint is the concept of mutual assured
destruction, meaning each side maintains nuclear forces sufficient to inflict devastating
damage on its opponent even if the other side strikes first. The greatest
deterrent to nuclear war is a strategic force that can withstand an opponent's
first strike and still retaliate in kind. In this situation, neither side has
an incentive to strike first, which would only arise if one side could destroy
the other's weapons in a primary strike. Then a tremendous advantage would go
to the side striking first. Similarly, if one side had some means of protecting
its population from nuclear attack, it might also be tempted to begin nuclear
warfare, because it would be reasonably safe from retaliation.
This thinking then leads to the conclusions that threatening to kill people
is good because it deters nuclear attack. While threatening to destroy weapons
is bad because it challenges the ability of the other side to retaliate. An invulnerable nuclear force is the best
deterrent, so offense is the best defense, and an effective anti-ballistic
missile defense or an ABM upsets the balance, which means defense is offense. The
acronym for mutual assured destruction, M.A.D, is very deserving. It is truly madness that in 1972, Nixon and
Brezhnev, signed an ABM Agreement which prohibited either side from defending
itself against a missile attack by the other. This meant that millions of Americans
were offered as the Soviet Union’s hostages in the game of nuclear strategy and
in return President Nixon got the right to hold a hundred million Soviet citizens
as his hostages. This is the core of mutually
assured destruction.
How many nuclear
bombs does it take to deter a nuclear attack though? While the logical answer would be a few at
the most, the United States has over 7000 separately targetable nuclear
warheads. The dramatic increase in the
number of nuclear warheads is the result of several factors, but whatever the
reasons, we now find ourselves in the unsettling situation of having enough
warheads to destroy the world many times over. Even the Pentagon admits that
the force is more than enough for assured destruction. Still, in today’s world,
the United States continues to need new and better weapons.
We would all prefer a world in which our nation was invulnerable to nuclear
attack, an international system in which national survival would not depend on
our ability to slaughter millions of people. That is not possible in the world
we live in today though, and it is not likely in the foreseeable future due to
all of the nuclear force present today. Although no one should be happy with
the paradox of mutual assured destruction because it is essentially a mutual
suicide pact signed by two nuclear superpowers, it seems that in world of
nuclear strategy, M.A.D. is the best deterrent to keep the world from entering into
a nuclear war.
I agree with your idea that MAD acts as the best deterrent in today's world. I think it definitely is at least part of the reason as to why there has not been a major conflict since World War Two. States are afraid of other states with nuclear weapons. Although I think it is ridiculous that the U.S. has thousands of warheads, It really is the best deterrent to starting any sort of military conflict.
ReplyDeleteM.A.D. does seem to be the most effective way to evade nuclear warfare. If both sides are threatened to be destroyed each state will take into to careful consideration all military action they may decide to pursue. I also was very intrigued by your explanation of offense and defense. I never took into consideration how having a strong defensive system could weigh into the uneasiness of nuclear warfare.
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