Elaine
Hang
International
Relations
Professor
Shirk
2
December 2015
2015 United Nations Climate Change
Conference
http://www.politico.com/gallery/2015/12/matt-wuerker-political-cartoons-december-2015-002151?slide=1
At
the 21st Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (COP21), representatives of states are making
strides in addressing concerns around climate change, even though there are conflicts
between the states. As extreme weather phenomena (droughts, hurricanes, storms)
have become more frequent in various geographical locations, states recognize climate
change as a serious and urgent global problem. Although it has been recognized
as a global problem for the last 20 years by developed nations, there is new
hope for more contributions to handle the problem from big emitters of
greenhouse gases in 2015.
In
2015, the perspective of these nations on climate change have changed. Developed
nations (e.g. the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany) have realized
that they have to take the initiative in decreasing cut down on emissions of
greenhouse gases since they collectively emit about half of the world’s
greenhouse gases. They also have been including in their decision-making
process nations with emerging economies and developing nations, since those are
the nations that tend to emit the most greenhouse gases. Even nations with
emerging economies (e.g. China and India), who have historically chosen to
resist the label of “developed nation” in order to avoid cutting carbon emissions,
express more concerns about climate change. To their increased influence and
better their image in the international community, those nations participate in
global platforms where they seek to create a policy that balances their
economic interests with the need to control carbon emissions. Not to mention, developing
countries (e.g. Vietnam and a number of African countries) realize that the (delayed)
consequences of climate change would threaten their socio-economic development
more than the immediate effects their experiencing.
Despite
this shift in mindset, there are still conflicts between states. The failure of
the Kyoto Protocol brings up the questions about which countries should
shoulder the responsibility for handling the climate change problem and how
much responsibility they should take. Developed nations, who have more
resources to dedicate to handling climate change, tend to argue with emerging
economies about the emerging economies’ responsibility to reduce the vast
amounts of greenhouse gases they emit. The emerging economies counter that they
want to first achieve the economic stability that the developed nations,
getting more time to obtain the resources to use in order to handle climate
change. Meanwhile, developing nations are still insignificant in the
decision-making process, despite the efforts of more influential nations to be more
inclusive of them. The interests of these nations are undermined by the interests
of flourishing nations.
The
conflicts will not be solved during the COP21, but the possible agreement that
comes out should be better than the Kyoto Protocol. Unlike the Kyoto Protocol,
the impending agreement is to be binding and reviewed by representatives from
more than 150 nations who have an interest developing the plan and/or
technology to handle the climate change problem. The COP21 agreement should
have taken into consideration the economic inequality between nations, the role
of big carbon emitters, and the proportional contributions of participating
nations. The messages state representatives deliver range from optimistic
promises to dire warnings, but they all contain the urgency to increase
international cooperation in order to face climate change.
I am happy to relay that the final draft of the UN Climate Change Conference, in which countries agreed to a limit of 2 degrees celsius change from pre-industrial era levels. While there is still further political hurdles to overcome (the nations must ratify the treaties domestically), this is a significant step in reducing carbon emissions. Nonetheless, potential weaknesses in the agreement have surfaced. The agreement does not call for punishment of nations that do not comply. This can have implications for the agreement's overall success in the future. Yet despite this weakness, I expect this agreement to be better than the Kyoto Protocol, since member states are more aware of climate change than almost 20 years ago.
ReplyDelete